The FDL Review election model predicts that former President Donald Trump will win reelection, that the GOP will retake the Senate, and that Republicans will retain their House majority. Trump is expected to win the Electoral College 291–247, taking the battleground states of Arizona (by 3.81 percentage points), Georgia (1.50), North Carolina (2.45), Pennsylvania (0.18), and Wisconsin (5.21). Additionally, our model predicts that Trump will win the national popular vote by 0.73 percentage point. Vice President Kamala Harris, meanwhile, is expected to take Michigan (by 1.45 percentage points), Minnesota (4.28), Nevada (0.73), New Hampshire (2.85), and Virginia (5.18). Giving Harris a boost at the margins, her voters are a hair more excited than Trump’s about participating in the election. And recent polls indicate that the vice president has momentum, winning over “late deciders” by double digits. Our model also predicts that Republicans will flip the Senate, netting three...